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The House Ethics Committee found Rep. Chuck Edwards (R-N.C.) violated House Rules by "failing to adhere to the spirit of rules prohibiting sexual harassment of and unwanted advances to House staffers," according to a 25-page report released Monday. Why it matters: The bipartisan committee recommended that Edwards be censured after concluding he "violated the Code of Official Conduct by failing to act in a manner that reflects creditably upon the House." Edwards did not immediately respond to Axi

Two people in Michigan have died in connection with the multistate cyclosporiasis outbreak, Michigan health officials said Monday, marking the first known deaths linked to the foodborne illness. Why it matters: Weeks into the national crisis that's sickened thousands of people, federal authorities still don't know for certain where it's coming from or why. Driving the news: Medical records show that the individuals who died "had significant underlying health conditions that may have been impacte

House Democrats are privately mulling whether to force a vote to expel Rep. Max Miller (R-Ohio) from Congress over domestic abuse allegations, which he denies. Why it matters: While it is rare for a House member to be forcibly ousted, the mere threat of expulsion has been enough to precipitate multiple resignations this year. One House Democrat, speaking on the condition of anonymity to offer candid insights into behind-the-scenes discussions, said they are "sure there will be" conversations thi

The White House said on Monday it met its deadline to establish a voluntary framework for evaluating advanced AI models — but it won't say what the framework contains, who's seen it or when companies will start using it. Why it matters: The framework is being closely watched beyond the industry players it directly applies to. Policymakers, AI safety advocates, and U.S. allies have been waiting to see what the rules for the most powerful models in the world look like. What they're saying: "The vo

The U.S. and Japanese governments have acted together to try to prop up the value of the yen on global currency markets. The way they did it contains a clue about U.S. goals — and has some worrying implications for global markets. The big picture: Headline indicators have been steady across global financial markets this summer. Yet there are some signs of strains beneath the surface, particularly in the form of rising long-term borrowing costs at a time of elevated debt worldwide. The U.S. parti

The House Democratic Women's Caucus is calling on Rep. Chuck Edwards (R-N.C.) to resign after the House Ethics Committee concluded he violated House rules over sexual harassment and creating a hostile work environment, according to a statement shared first with Axios. Why it matters: The Democratic Women's Caucus is arguing that censure — the punishment recommended by the bipartisan Ethics Committee — is not sufficient for Edwards. "A censure has no real consequences," Democratic Women's Caucus

Former Rep. Jim Renacci told Axios in a phone interview Monday night that he may mount a comeback run for Congress if Rep. Max Miller (R-Ohio) drops his bid for reelection. Why it matters: As a former Republican nominee for U.S. Senate and congressman from the district, Renacci would likely be a serious contender to take Miller's place on the ballot. "I still know a lot of people, I still have good name recognition," Renacci told Axios. Miller, who is facing allegations of domestic abuse , has d

Ohio, the red state that helped fuel President Trump 's political comeback — and launched his presumed heir, JD Vance , onto the national stage — has become one of the GOP's biggest headaches for the midterms. Why it matters: Republicans are struggling up and down the ballot in the Rust Belt state, which transformed from a perennial battleground into a Republican stronghold under Trump. Ohio's GOP is scrambling under the weight of domestic abuse allegations, sluggish campaigns and a working-clas

President Trump phoned Rep. Max Miller Monday and expressed doubts about the Ohio Republican's candidacy amid reports he assaulted his ex-wife and their child, three sources familiar with the call said. On the call, the president told Miller that "things aren't looking good" and repeatedly said his reelection would be tough, the three sources said. Miller, who denies hurting his wife and child, told the president he is staying in the race, one of the sources said. Miller said his own polling sho

Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche will likely advance to a full Senate confirmation vote after he rescinded the order setting up President Trump's $1.776 billion "anti-weaponization" fund Sunday. Why it matters: Blanche's Sunday order has won over Sens. John Cornyn (R-Texas) and Thom Tillis (R-N.C.), who had held out on voting for Trump's pick. State of play: Cornyn and Tillis said in a joint statement that they will vote to advance Blanche's nomination. The senators said they had negotiated

Federal Reserve chairman Kevin Warsh is reportedly weighing whether the central bank should hold fewer policy meetings each year. Why it matters: Cutting the Fed's meeting schedule would be the biggest change to the process of monetary policymaking in decades, reducing the procedural burden on staff but giving policymakers fewer routine opportunities to adjust interest rates as the economy changes. Driving the news: The New York Times reported Friday that Warsh raised the idea of holding fewer m

The share of business students regularly using AI has increased from 6.2% to 29% over the past three years, according to research from American University's Kogod School of Business , shared first with Axios. Why it matters: The chorus of AI boos at college graduations last spring doesn't tell the whole story: Students increasingly see AI as a critical job skill but want more guidance on using it responsibly. The big picture: Those commencement jeers aimed at AI boosterism captured real anxiety

America has been napping or distracted by trivialities while China is racing toward the future, in part by taking advantage of President Trump's trade, immigration and budget policies. That's the eye-opening reality that Evan Osnos unfurls in a 12-page piece for The New Yorker, "The Future, Made in China." Why it matters: China could beat the U.S. to the future on a host of fronts, including engineering a cure for cancer. What it says: "For China, America's retreat comes just as decades of state

Three consecutive polls have now shown Democrat James Talarico narrowly ahead of Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton in that state's crucial race for the U.S. Senate. The latest, released Tuesday morning, has Talarico up 47%-45%. Why it matters: That's within the survey's margin of error, and the Republican establishment isn't panicking — not yet, anyway. But there are some troubling signs for the GOP nominee among white and Latino voters. State of play: The private theory among top Republican off

Massive changes to Medicaid eligibility are entering a new phase as states begin implementing new work rules and patients face the first real risk of losing coverage. The big picture: The crunch period has started for states to get the word out and set up systems for many Medicaid enrollees to report at least 80 hours a month of work, school or volunteering or get an exemption. "If that goes wrong, people are going to be really, really upset, and that is a political firestorm that nobody wants,"

Data: Financial Modeling Prep, Binance; Chart: Erin Davis/Axios Visuals For years, Truth Social was President Trump's money-losing megaphone. Now his company is charging Wall Street up to $1.2 million a year for a split-second edge on posts that can — and frequently do — jolt global markets. Why it matters: Trump has transformed his second term into the most lucrative venture of his entire career, raking in more than $2.2 billion in 2025 from his family crypto empire , legal settlements and vari

Climate adaptation is increasingly moving from planning to real-world action as heat waves, droughts, wildfires, floods and hurricanes test communities across the U.S. Why it matters: Even if greenhouse gas emissions decline, many communities are already facing more frequent or intense climate extremes, prompting officials to invest in infrastructure designed to reduce future damage. Driving the news: After catastrophic flooding killed more than 130 people in Texas Hill Country last year, newly

You're probably less than 600 days from Democrats having a true leader who can show and shape the party's direction. Why it matters: Until Super Tuesday — that's March 7, 2028 — or well beyond, Democrats will be leaderless, and likely split between rising socialist energy and more traditional, establishment liberalism. DNC Chair Ken Martin will likely get ousted and leave behind a hot financial mess and cashless dumpster fire. Hakeem Jeffries has a legit shot at rising to speaker, but will lack

Nearly eight months after President Trump predicted U.S. companies would "rapidly rebuild Venezuela's dilapidated oil industry" to boost production, no new petroleum deals have been finalized there with American firms. The U.S. Department of Energy is largely to blame, a dozen oil industry professionals, senior U.S. officials and Venezuela insiders tell Axios. Why it matters : The price of oil is climbing as the Iran war squeezes global supplies, spotlighting the absence of finalized deals in Ve

Wildfires in Washington and Oregon have forced evacuations, caused power outages, and burned hundreds of thousands of acres as firefighters battle dozens of massive fires across the Pacific Northwest. Why it matters: The blazes are among 99 active large fires burning across the U.S. as this year's wildfire season exceeds the 10-year average for both the number of fires and the acres burned, according to the National Interagency Fire Center. So far this year, 45,835 fires have burned more than 5.

Ohio GOP Rep. Max Miller said Sunday he will stay in his reelection race, using a livestream on X to deny allegations he abused his ex-wife and their young daughter. Shortly after his announcement, his ex-father-in-law, Sen. Bernie Moreno (R-Ohio), denounced him as a "danger" to his daughter and unfit for office. Why it matters: The extraordinary public split between two Trump -aligned Ohio Republicans comes days before the state's deadline to replace Miller on the ballot with a special election

Gavin Newsom is quietly banking a lot of goodwill among party organizers and elected officials in states — particularly in the South — that will be key in the midterms and the 2028 Democratic presidential primary. Newsom has raised more than $1.7 million for critical state parties and their legislative committees so far this two-year cycle, according to data reviewed by Axios. Why it matters: State party leaders told Axios that the California governor has raised more for them than any other prom

Jon Ossoff is having a moment. But some Democratic insiders are questioning whether he's the real deal — or if a few slickly produced videos are making him look like more of a political juggernaut than he is. Why it matters: The Georgia senator, 39, has catapulted into the 2028 conversation by making liberals on social media swoon over his viral clips of high-energy rallies and sharp takedowns of President Trump and Republicans. Our conversations with Democratic strategists in Georgia and beyond

The Wall Street Journal opinion page tried to stop Donald Trump a decade ago and again in 2024. Now, the standard-bearer of traditional conservatism is making an early case against his presumed heir. Why it matters: Vice President JD Vance has the inside track for Trump's endorsement. But there's a not-insignificant GOP faction that never embraced Trump's overhaul of the party — and is already arguing against handing the reins to Vance. Driving the news: In a series of recent columns, Journal op

Six months after Nancy Guthrie was taken against her will from her Arizona home in the middle of the night, there are no suspects or major leads and the case seems to be stalled, a source close to the investigation tells me. "There is plenty of blame to go around, but there is growing pressure to solve this case," the source said. "This case has struck a chord — people are watching very closely. This can't go on for another six months ." Savannah Guthrie , the "Today" show co-host and Nancy's da

President Trump doesn't much care if Republicans lose the House and/or the Senate in the midterms this fall. Yes, he'd prefer a big win, but he seems indifferent to the election and the possibility of endless Democratic investigations of his family, wealth and policies, his closest advisers tell us. A big reason: Trump knows he'll emerge just as strong, or even stronger, heading into his final two years, at least among Republicans. Why it matters: Trump will enjoy a more pro-Trump Republican Con

Silicon Valley's AI moguls are flooding Washington with competing blueprints for superintelligence, clashing over a defining question: Does safety come from spreading powerful AI or containing it? Why it matters: Their fight will shape who gets access to the best models, how America competes with China, and whether the government can slow the race in an emergency. Driving the news: Alarming developments, seemingly by the day, have turned the manifestos from thought exercises into an urgent polic

President Trump said Saturday night that he has called off a potential attack on Iran due to progress in negotiations between the two nations. The big picture: There had been indications from some U.S. officials that an attack on Iran's infrastructure was possible, all in an effort to get the Iranians to agree to the U.S.' terms in ceasefire negotiations. What they're saying: "I have agreed, for the future benefit of the WORLD and, likewise, the survival of a successful and prosperous Iran, to c

Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman spoke to President Trump on Saturday and expressed concern over his plans for massive new strikes against Iran , according to two U.S. officials and a third source with knowledge of the call. Why it matters: Trump is seriously considering attacking Iranian energy targets in the coming days in response to Iran's missile strike on a U.S. base in Jordan and its continued disruption of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. He has yet to issue final orders. The

Sen. Thom Tillis said Saturday morning that new comments by President Trump about his "anti-weaponization" fund mean that attorney general nominee Todd Blanche won't be confirmed by the Senate next week. Why it matters: Tillis's comment escalates the fight between the White House and holdout Senate Republicans over whether Trump's fund — for people he considers victims of political persecution — is dead or not. What they're saying: " Despite comments as late as yesterday that the fund is dead, P

Data: Axios research; Chart: Sara Wise/Axios Chinese AI lab DeepSeek released a powerful new coding model Friday that charges pennies for vast amounts of code — the latest sign that some of the smartest software on Earth is rapidly becoming a commodity . Why it matters: Tech giants are pouring hundreds of billions of dollars into the computing infrastructure powering the AI revolution. Yet the intelligence that infrastructure produces is getting cheaper by the week. Zoom in: DeepSeek is the same

President Trump is seriously considering launching attacks against energy targets in Iran in the next few days, but hasn't given final orders to do it, a U.S. official told Axios on Friday. Why it matters: A new U.S. bombing campaign in Iran against energy and infrastructure targets would be aimed at trying to get the Iranians to agree to the United States' terms in ongoing ceasefire negotiations. The strikes could also involve the Israeli military for the first time in many weeks, and such an e

The Trump administration is still pushing lawmakers to confirm acting Attorney General Todd Blanche , even as President Trump defends the "anti-weaponization" fund holding Blanche's confirmation hostage. The big picture: The "anti-weaponization" fund has been the red line for Sens. John Cornyn (R-Texas) and Thom Tillis (R-N.C.). The lawmakers have refused to vote for Blanche until the DOJ put into writing that aspects of the deal aren't moving forward . Trump said Friday the fund is dead, but he

Inflation has been too high for too long, and the Federal Reserve should not count on it fading without further action. That is the argument from the three Fed officials who dissented from the decision led by chairman Kevin Warsh to leave interest rates unchanged this week, preferring instead to raise them. Why it matters: Together, the dissents lay out a blueprint for the Fed's hawkish wing, arguing that repeated supply shocks paired with resilient demand have made inflation too persistent to f

Data: Brunswick Group and Echelon Insights; Chart: Sara Wise/Axios CEOs face an increasingly skeptical American public that's laser-focused on affordability and fairness, according to polling from the Brunswick Group and Echelon Insights provided first to Axios. Why it matters: With the midterms less than 100 days away, the results show corporate leaders need to build trust through consistency and neutrality — rather than trying to chase political headwinds. By the numbers: 41% of Americans surv

The Department of Health and Human Services keeps saying it's turning over a new leaf , but it has only been partially successful — and controversial vaccine policymaking appears to be back on the table. Why it matters: Though the agency reset was launched with the midterm elections in mind, it's already under strain and the elections are still more than three months away. State of play: Until this week, the administration had spent most of this year toning down its approach to vaccines, after i

The Trump administration has a new tactic for trying to isolate cases of alleged voter fraud — digging into the IP addresses of those who went online to register to vote. The FBI recently obtained the IP address of someone who registered online in South Carolina, according to documents first shared with Axios. Why it matters: The bureau's request for the address, which state and local officials complied with, offers a glimpse of how federal authorities are stepping up their probe of voter rolls

A series of dangerous heat waves this summer — including one that has left 17 states under an emergency federal order — are putting the electric grid under an intense real-world stress test. Why it matters: Successive summer heat waves are forcing utilities to rethink how they prepare the grid for longer and more frequent periods of extreme stress. They're raising questions about whether the electric grid can keep pace with surging demand from both climate change and the AI-driven electricity bo

The way your work shows up in a digital-dominated world is changing lightning fast, starting with the total collapse of Google Search traffic. Why it matters: Google has basically stopped sending people to websites (including our site) for answers and information. Instead, it's using AI to answer them on its platform, in its words. Chartbeat data shared with Axios shows Google Search traffic to publishers fell 34% over the past year. That pain is regressive. Over the past two years, small publis

Europe and the United Kingdom are fine-tuning their approach to AI model testing as a deadline looms for the U.S. government to set rules of the road. Why it matters: U.S. allies for years have been grappling with the same AI safety questions the Trump administration now faces. Wherever the U.S. lands in its AI framework, architects of the EU and U.K. approaches say it would be just the start. The big picture: President Trump began his second term by scrapping his predecessor's AI strategy and p

Democratic socialists look like they're about to rack up a stunning new victory: Their candidate in Michigan's Senate Democratic primary has the momentum heading into Tuesday's primary. Why it matters: A win by Abdul El-Sayed in the swing state would turbocharge the party's left flank and validate establishment fears about the party's direction. The big picture: Establishment Democrats have watched in horror as democratic socialist candidates pull off one win after another in House primaries thi

President Trump announced Thursday that his Board of Peace had reached an agreement with Hamas to disarm and transfer civilian and security control of Gaza to a new Palestinian technocratic government. Why it matters: If implemented, the agreement would represent a dramatic breakthrough in Trump's 20-point Gaza peace plan and clear the way for reconstruction of the devastated enclave. But the deal requires Hamas and Israel to complete a complicated series of reciprocal and independently verified